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Magic, Hornets collide in Orlando

Basketball Betting Lines

02/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Orlando Magic hope to carry the momentum from their big win at Boston into tonight's home tilt versus the New Orleans Hornets at Amway Arena.

Orlando posted a 96-89 triumph over the Celtics on Sunday at TD Garden, as Vince Carter posted 20 points and Dwight Howard finished with 16 points and 13 rebounds for the Southeast Division-leading Magic, who battled back from an 11-point halftime deficit.

"I think we just came out with a lot of intensity. I was upset about how we played in the first half, it wasn't as well as we wanted to," Howard said. "We came out in the second half with a lot of energy, defensively moved our feet, we were talking more and that's what got us the big lead."

Jameer Nelson had 15 points and Rashard Lewis netted 14 in the win, Orlando's eighth in its last 10 tries. The Magic will put its 19-5 home mark to the test Monday night and are one game ahead of Atlanta in the division standings.

New Orleans will shoot for its fifth straight win on the road this evening and ended a three-game losing streak with a 104-99 triumph at Charlotte on Saturday.

Rookie Darren Collison, filling in for injured All-Star guard Chris Paul, recorded a team-high 24 points and four assists, while David West scored 21 points and Peja Stojakovic contributed 18 for New Orleans, which avoided a season-high fourth straight loss.

Collison is averaging 15.5 points, 7.7 assists and 3.4 rebounds per game in 13 games as a starter. He has been a big lift since Paul underwent left knee surgery and will be out a minimum of four weeks.

"This [win] was needed bad especially after those losses at home," said Collison, who is averaging 16.6 points and 9.8 assists in five starts since Paul went down. "We needed to come back and have a victory today. We've got two games before the break and have to finish strong."

Emeka Okafor posted 16 points and seven rebounds in the win. On the injury front for New Orleans, guard Marcus Thornton (back) is questionable for Monday.

New Orleans and Orlando are meeting for the first time this season, and have split the past eight matchups.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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