Twins continue set with Royals
Baseball Betting Lines
09/07/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Capturing a second straight American League Central title
may be the Minnesota Twins' main objective, but judging by the team's
performance at Target Field this season, having home-field advantage for the
opening round of the playoffs would be a big deal as well.
The first-place Twins will try to move a step closer towards accomplishing
both goals in tonight's middle test of a three-game series with the visiting
Kansas City Royals.
Minnesota maintained its 3 1/2-game advantage on the determined Chicago White Sox for the Central's top spot with Monday's 5-4 decision over the Royals. The
win was the Twins' fourth in a row and ninth in their last 11 contests, and
improved Ron Gardenhire's squad to an outstanding 46-23 at Target Field this
season.
The Twins have now won 17 of their past 20 games at the first-year ballpark
and are in excellent position to start the postseason at home if they can hold
off the White Sox for the division crown. With both the top team and the wild
card likely to come out of the AL East, Minnesota currently owns a 5 1/2-game
lead on West front-runner Texas for the No. 2 seed for the upcoming playoffs.
Jason Kubel snapped a 2-2 tie in Monday's matchup with a two-run homer in the
bottom of the fifth inning, with Jim Thome belting a solo shot two batters
later to give the Twins a three-run cushion. The long ball was the 585th of
Thome's storied career, moving the veteran slugger one away from catching
Frank Robinson for eighth place on baseball's all-time list.
Thome's homer also proved to be an important one, as the Royals scored twice
in the top of the sixth to pull within 5-4. They would get no closer, however,
as relievers Matt Guerrier, Jesse Crain and Matt Capps kept Kansas City off
the board over the final three frames to come out on top.
Capps threw a 1-2-3 ninth to notch his 10th save since joining Minnesota in a
trade with Washington just prior to the July 31 non-waiver deadline.
"It's been a lot of fun," Capps said about his time with the Twins.
"Hopefully, we keep playing good baseball and it remains fun."
Brayan Pena finished 2-for-4 with two RBI for Kansas City, losers of four of
its five games. Starting pitcher Sean O'Sullivan (2-5) was hung with the
defeat after allowing five runs, including the pivotal homers to Kubel and
Thome, over 4 2/3 innings of work.
"Two pitches changed the whole game," O'Sullivan said afterward.
The Royals hope to fair better tonight behind Brian Bannister in the right-
hander's return from a month-long stint on the disabled list due to shoulder
tendinitis.
Bannister had been struggling mightily prior to being shelved on August 3,
losing five straight starts and going 1-7 with a brutal 7.96 earned run
average over a 10-game stretch beginning in mid-June. One of those setbacks
came against the Twins in Kansas City on July 28, when he was reached for five
runs and 11 hits over six innings.
The 29-year-old, who tossed 3 1/3 scoreless frames in his final rehab
assignment for Triple-A Omaha on Wednesday, did throw 6 1/3 innings of two-run
ball to beat Minnesota on April 25 and is 4-5 with a 4.36 ERA over 12 lifetime
starts against the Twins.
Minnesota counters with Francisco Liriano, who'll putting his unbeaten second-
half record on the line in tonight's tilt. In nine starts since the All-Star
break, the tough left-hander has compiled a 6-0 mark along with a sensational
2.17 ERA and allowed only a single home run in a span of 58 innings.
Liriano didn't come up with a victory his last time out, although he certainly
deserved one after limiting Detroit to five hits and striking out seven
batters over seven shutout innings on Wednesday. He exited the game with a 1-0
lead, but the Tigers would tie it against the Minnesota bullpen later on.
The Dominican native also fired seven scoreless frames in a July 26 encounter
at Kansas City, this time gaining the win in a 19-1 Twins' rout. The effort
moved Liriano to 4-3 with a 4.04 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts)
against the Royals.
In 13 starts at Target Field, where he hasn't lost since June 28, Liriano is
6-3 with an impressive 2.51 ERA.
The 26-year-old will be trying to pitch the Twins to a fifth consecutive win
over Kansas City. Minnesota has gone 10-3 against the Royals so far this
season and has prevailed in five of the seven games between the teams held in
Minneapolis.
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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million
Football Betting
In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
NFL Betting Lines
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