Conley and Hornets grab win in New Orleans
Basketball Betting Lines
03/03/2010 -
New Orleans, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Conley finished with 26 points and
seven assists, as the Memphis Grizzlies pulled out a 104-100 victory over the
New Orleans Hornets.
Zach Randolph added 23 points and 11 rebounds for Memphis, which had lost its
last nine on the road against the Hornets.
Marcus Thornton scored 24 points off the bench to lead the Hornets, who have
lost three in a row. Darren Collison added 17 points and 14 assists, and Peja
Stojakovic provided 18 points and nine boards.
David West finished with 15 points for New Orleans, and his dunk with 11.5
seconds left got the Hornets within 102-100. Conley missed two free throws at
the other end with 10.7 still on the clock, giving New Orleans a chance to
tie.
James Posey got control of the ball and raced up the right side of the court
before being confronted by Memphis' Marcus Williams. Posey somewhat
haphazardly tossed a pass backward, in the direction of three Grizzlies
players. Rudy Gay grabbed the ball and dunked as the clock ran out to seal
Memphis' win.
<< Jayhawks rebound to knock off K-State in top-five clash
Lawrence, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Xavier Henry dropped in 19 points and Sherron
Collins shook off a slow start to spark the Jayhawks in the second half,
as No. 2 Kansas clinched the Big 12 Conference outright and finished up a
perfect
<< Wisconsin wins big over Iowa
Madison, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jon Leuer scored 18 points and pulled down five
rebounds, as the 15th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers dominated the Iowa Hawkeyes,
67-40, in a Big Ten clash at the Kohl Center.
Senior guards Trevon Hughes and Jas
<< Wildcats top Georgia, gain share of SEC title
Athens, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - John Wall scored 24 points and handed out six
assists to help third-ranked Kentucky beat Georgia, 80-68, and earn at least a
share of its 44th SEC regular-season title.
Patrick Patterson had 17 points and 1
<< Panthers' explosion of offense cools off Flyers
Sunrise, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David Booth and Bryan McCabe each had a goal
and three assists as the Florida Panthers clobbered the Philadelphia Flyers,
7-4, at BankAtlantic Center.
Michael Frolik scored twice while Jason Garrison had
<< Salmons and Bucks dominate Washington
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - John Salmons continued to pay dividends for
the Bucks with a team-leading 22 points, as Milwaukee tripped up Washington,
100-87, in the opener of a home-and-home set from the Bradley Center.
Ersan Ilyasov
Landry haunts former teammates as Kings edge Rockets >>
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carl Landry put up 22 points and 10 rebounds
against his former Rockets teammates, leading the Kings to an 84-81 victory.
Landry was part of a three-team deal at the trade deadline that sent Kevin
Martin
New Mexico wraps up MWC title with win over TCU >>
Albuquerque, NM (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Darington Hobson poured in 20 points,
pulled down 14 rebounds and had seven assists, leading No. 8 New Mexico to a
73-66 win over TCU, on a night the Lobos claimed the outright Mountain West
Confere
Mavericks fend off Timberwolves for ninth straight win >>
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jason Terry poured in 26 points and dished out
five assists to help the red-hot Dallas Mavericks fend off the Minnesota
Timberwolves, 112-109, at American Airlines Center.
Dirk Nowitzki added 22 points
Pavlyuchenkova advances to quarters, Wozniak falls in Mexico >>
Monterrey, Mexico (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Third-seeded Russian Anastasia
Pavlyuchenkova handled Polona Hercog of Slovenia 6-2, 6-3 to reach the
quarterfinals of the $220,000 Monterrey Open tennis event.
Aleksandra Wozniak was
Davies, BYU handle Utah >>
Salt Lake City, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brandon Davies had 21 points and seven
rebounds to lead 14th-ranked BYU past Utah, 71-51, at the Huntsman Center.
Michael Loyd, Jr. added 18 points and six rebounds for BYU (27-4, 12-3 MWC),
which r
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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